Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.278692 0.373108 0.483113 0.618813 0.779749 0.962630 1.184207
2026-02-01 0.144714 0.250024 0.393732 0.595182 0.861207 1.191728 1.624239
2026-02-08 0.084383 0.190203 0.358432 0.621922 1.000957 1.504164 2.199210
2026-02-15 0.045177 0.139284 0.315743 0.623679 1.102267 1.774649 2.745323
2026-02-22 0.027755 0.115928 0.307219 0.671315 1.271099 2.148760 3.455301
2026-03-01 0.015591 0.093335 0.290538 0.699300 1.410096 2.488817 4.138285
2026-03-08 0.007521 0.071582 0.265611 0.704972 1.510686 2.776500 4.760717
2026-03-15 0.002866 0.052066 0.235536 0.692021 1.575237 3.010416 5.314005
2026-03-22 0.001064 0.040801 0.220522 0.704835 1.683256 3.315622 5.983688
2026-03-29 0.000257 0.030815 0.202829 0.706683 1.769420 3.588500 6.613761
2026-04-05 0.000014 0.021226 0.178563 0.686328 1.809660 3.786297 7.134520
2026-04-12 NaN 0.014360 0.157860 0.668398 1.850611 3.985003 7.661708
2026-04-19 NaN 0.010339 0.146282 0.672685 1.938709 4.272498 8.346987
2026-04-26 NaN 0.006162 0.126308 0.647086 1.961355 4.447427 8.859521
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004837 0.124253 0.675191 2.101608 4.836324 9.730789
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003166 0.114836 0.676916 2.183387 5.123632 10.444683
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002832 0.119426 0.727315 2.378905 5.624845 11.524330
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002184 0.118187 0.756897 2.528580 6.047186 12.483448
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001389 0.111009 0.762879 2.623398 6.371350 13.286752
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000698 0.099676 0.749164 2.669563 6.605696 13.944557
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000417 0.095473 0.762718 2.782566 6.969768 14.829890
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000200 0.089047 0.764670 2.866415 7.280323 15.630125
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000051 0.078330 0.743129 2.888342 7.471480 16.229365